TRC TRAVEL RISK CALCULATOR

Global Travel Risk Report — September 2026

A data-grounded intelligence briefing analyzing government advisory shifts, sovereign risk movers, and natural hazards across 241 countries and territories.

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Oct 2026 Sep 2026 Aug 2026 Jul 2026

Global Risk Tier Distribution

Distribution of sovereign risk categories across all monitored jurisdictions in September 2026.

Low 34 (14.1%) Moderate 125 (51.9%) Elevated 55 (22.8%) High 0 (0%) Extreme 23 (9.5%) Low-to-moderate 4 (1.7%)
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Notable Government Advisory Changes (US, UK, Canada)

Country Source Level Shift Advisory Summary Date
China US Level 3 → Level 2 China - Level 2: Exercise Increased Caution 2026-09-04
China US Level 2 → Level 3 Mainland China, Hong Kong & Macau - See Summaries - Level 3: Reconsider Travel 2026-09-04
Virgin Islands, British US Level 1 British Virgin Islands - Level 1: Exercise Normal Precautions 2026-05-22
Korea, North US Level 4 North Korea - Level 4: Do Not Travel 2025-04-29
Congo (Brazzaville) US Level 2 Republic of the Congo - Level 2: Exercise Increased Caution 2024-10-02
Netherlands US Level 1 → Level 2 Netherlands - Level 2: Exercise Increased Caution 2024-08-09
San Marino US Level 2 San Marino (via Italy) - Level 2: Exercise Increased Caution 2025-05-23
Vatican City US Level 2 Vatican City (via Italy) - Level 2: Exercise Increased Caution 2025-05-23
Monaco US Level 2 Monaco (via France) - Level 2: Exercise Increased Caution 2025-05-28
Kyrgyzstan US Level 1 The Kyrgyz Republic - Level 1: Exercise Normal Precautions 2026-02-10
Gambia, The US Level 2 The Gambia - Level 2: Exercise Increased Caution 2026-01-16
Niger US Level 3 → Level 4 Niger - Level 4: Do Not Travel 2025-10-31
Macau US Level 3 Macau - Level 3: Reconsider Travel 2026-09-04
Bonaire, Sint Eustatius, and Saba US Level 1 Bonaire - Level 1: Exercise Normal Precautions 2026-08-20
Micronesia, Federated States of US Level 1 Federated States of Micronesia - Level 1: Exercise Normal Precautions 2026-07-07

Major City Score Movers

City Shift Reason
San Ignacio (Honduras) +38 (36 → 74) Method change: scoring v2
Comendador (Dominican Republic) +37 (32 → 69) Method change: scoring v2
La Ceiba (Honduras) +37 (36 → 73) Method change: scoring v2
Comayagua (Honduras) +37 (36 → 73) Method change: scoring v2
Juticalpa (Honduras) +37 (36 → 73) Method change: scoring v2
Catacamas (Honduras) +37 (36 → 73) Method change: scoring v2
Olanchito (Honduras) +37 (36 → 73) Method change: scoring v2
Siguatepeque (Honduras) +37 (36 → 73) Method change: scoring v2
Yoro (Honduras) +37 (36 → 73) Method change: scoring v2
Nacaome (Honduras) +37 (36 → 73) Method change: scoring v2
La Paz (Honduras) +37 (36 → 73) Method change: scoring v2
Sonaguera (Honduras) +37 (36 → 73) Method change: scoring v2
San Lorenzo (Honduras) +37 (36 → 73) Method change: scoring v2
Guaimaca (Honduras) +37 (36 → 73) Method change: scoring v2
Cedros (Honduras) +37 (36 → 73) Method change: scoring v2

Recorded Natural Disasters

Event Severity / Mag Date
M 6.7 - 74 km ENE of Tadine, New Caledonia M 6.7 2026-09-25
M 6.5 - 177 km W of Nikolski, Alaska M 6.5 2026-09-17
M 6.5 - 121 km NNE of Teluknaga, Indonesia M 6.5 2026-09-11
M 6.4 - 50 km NNE of Kainantu, Papua New Guinea M 6.4 2026-09-20
M 6.3 - 92 km SSW of Nikolski, Alaska M 6.3 2026-09-03
M 6.2 - South Sandwich Islands region M 6.2 2026-09-02
M 5.9 - 256 km NE of Lospalos, Timor Leste M 5.9 2026-09-11
M 5.9 - southern East Pacific Rise M 5.9 2026-09-02
M 5.7 - 197 km NW of Hihifo, Tonga M 5.7 2026-09-23
M 5.7 - 163 km WSW of Abepura, Indonesia M 5.7 2026-09-02
M 5.6 - 91 km SW of Tamarindo, Costa Rica M 5.6 2026-09-30
M 5.6 - 72 km ESE of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea M 5.6 2026-09-26
M 5.6 - 79 km NNE of Tobelo, Indonesia M 5.6 2026-09-14
M 5.6 - 100 km SE of Kirakira, Solomon Islands M 5.6 2026-09-06
M 5.6 - 89 km ESE of Isangel, Vanuatu M 5.6 2026-09-05

Press & Academic Citation Note

Travel Risk Calculator datasets and monthly risk indexes are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0). Journalists, researchers, and travel risk underwriters are free to cite, chart, or redistribute this data provided attribution is preserved with a link to https://www.travelriskcalculator.com/reports/2026-09.

Suggested citation: Travel Risk Calculator Research Group (September 2026). Global Travel Risk Index & Advisory Monitor: 2026-09 dataset. FieldBrief Intelligence.