Your assessment
Official advisory · Level 4
Do Not Travel
Follow the official advisory linked below. The composite score is analytical context, not permission to disregard this decision.
Your answer for erbil
⚠Composite: Elevated risk
Heightened risks present. Plan carefully and follow the actions listed below.
Recommendation: Official decision override: Do Not Travel. The composite score describes contributing conditions; it does not weaken the official advisory.
Field Briefing
Mode: I plan to travel · erbil
SECTION I·b — Today's Weather
☁ Overcast
Erbil, Iraq
| Today's high / low | 33.7°C / 25.2°C | Wind now / max | 13.2 km/h / 28.3 km/h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Humidity | 27% | Precipitation today | 0.1 mm · 25% chance |
| UV (max today) | 4.9 | Sunrise / Sunset | 06:11 / 17:27 |
Source: Open-Meteo (free public weather API) · fetched 2026-10-16 06:47:50 UTC
SECTION I·c — Air Quality
Air Quality
Moderate
| PM2.5 / PM10 | 35.4 / 72.4 µg/m³ | O₃ / NO₂ | 72 / 14.8 µg/m³ |
|---|
Source: Open-Meteo Air Quality · fetched 2026-10-16 06:47:50 UTC
SECTION I·d — Official Travel Advisory
Level 4 · Do Not Travel
Iraq - Level 4: Do Not Travel
Read full advisory → · US Department of State
SECTION I·e — Disaster Alerts
Active Disaster Alerts
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Green flood alert in Syria GREEN · ~362 km away · 2026-10-15
On 12/10/2026, a flood started in Syria, lasting until 14/10/2026 (last update). The flood caused 2 deaths and 0 displaced .
“~N km away” = event centroid within ~500 km of this location; “country-wide” = a national/regional alert that may not be near this specific city. Source: GDACS · fetched 2026-10-16 06:23:25 UTC
SECTION I·f — Health Notices
Health Notices for this Destination
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Level 1 - Global Dengue WATCH · 2026-10-02
Dengue is a year-round risk in many parts of the world, with outbreaks commonly occurring every 2–5 years. Travelers to risk areas should prevent mosquito bites. Country List : Colombia, Vietnam, Maldives, Bolivia, Cambodia, Kenya, Malaysia, Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, Costa Rica, Mar
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Level 2 - Global Polio ALERT · 2026-09-23
Some international destinations have circulating poliovirus. Before any international travel, make sure you are up to date on your polio vaccines. Country List : Afghanistan, Algeria, Benin, Cameroon, Chad, Côte d'Ivoire (Ivory Coast), Democratic Republic of the Congo, Niger, Nig
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Level 1 - Global Measles WATCH · 2025-05-28
Measles cases are rising in many countries around the world. All international travelers should be fully vaccinated against measles with the measles-mumps-rubella (MMR) vaccine, according to CDC's measles vaccination recommendations for international travel. Country List : Afghan
Source: CDC Travelers’ Health · fetched 2026-10-15 19:24:31 UTC
SECTION I·g — Recent Headlines
Recent Headlines · Erbil Iraq
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Is Erbil Airport Open? Latest Status & Updates (October 2026)
Wego Travel Blog · 6d ago
Source: Google News · headlines verbatim, dates from publishers · fetched 2026-10-16 06:47:51 UTC
SECTION II — Quantitative Assessment
The composite below is context only and does not weaken this advisory.
Official decision override: Do Not Travel. The composite score describes contributing conditions; it does not weaken the official advisory.
Origin / Destination
| Origin | Poznan, Poland |
|---|---|
| Destination | erbil, iraq |
SECTION IV — Trip Readiness
Trip Readiness
Poorly Prepared
Document gap — handle before you go
- verify passport validity
Next actions
- verify passport validity
- passport/visa checked
- vaccines/health advice checked
- travel insurance purchased
- emergency numbers saved
SECTION V — Data Confidence
Data Confidence
Confidence: HIGH
Matched scope: city · Source: city-level + country fallback
Last reviewed: 2026-09-26 18:01:07
SECTION VI — Top Risk Drivers
Top Risk Drivers
Official Level 4 Do Not Travel Advisory · advisory
Governments universally advise against travel to Iraq, including the Kurdistan Region, due to an unpredictable security environment and active military concerns.
→ Cancel or defer all non-essential travel plans to Iraq.
Cross-Border Drone and Missile Strikes · political
Erbil has faced targeting of its airport, outskirts, and diplomatic facilities by Iranian drones and missiles.
→ Prioritize personal safety, shelter in place if instructed by local authorities, and monitor regional airspace and NOTAM developments.
Severe Crime and Local Safety Risks · crime
Crime score of 80 indicates severe risk conditions within the destination context.
→ Maintain strict security protocols and avoid vulnerable locations.
SECTION VII — Threat Vector Decomposition
Threat Vector Decomposition
SECTION VIII — Executive Summary
Executive Summary
Official advisory decision override: Do Not Travel. Iraq maintains a Level 4 advisory due to unpredictable regional security conditions, military strikes, and ongoing threats to diplomatic and aviation infrastructure in Erbil.
Live Intelligence / AI-Assisted Briefing
AI summary: Official advisory decision override: Do Not Travel. Iraq maintains a Level 4 advisory due to unpredictable regional security conditions, military strikes, and ongoing threats to diplomatic and aviation infrastructure in Erbil.
Recent intelligence items
- Iraq Travel Advice & Safety | Smartraveller [source]
- Erbil Travel Guide | BootsnAll [source]
- Current NOTAMs for Middle East | Notamify [source]
Field recommendations
- Obey official Level 4 Do Not Travel directives and defer trips to Erbil and Iraq.
- Shelter in place immediately if instructed by local authorities.
- Monitor official developments and security advisories closely.
- Register travel and contact details with your home country's mission if currently in-country.
- Avoid sensitive or high-profile locations such as airports and diplomatic outskirts.
- Maintain high situational awareness regarding regional military strikes.
- Review current NOTAMs and aviation warnings before any transit.
Sources the AI drew from
These are the public-web snippets fed into the AI for this briefing. Verify any specific claim by reading the source.
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The Last Convoy Out of Iraq: Who Holds the Ground Now? | SOFREP
23시간 전The coalition has left Iraq, but the verdict on its departure belongs to whoever holds the ground after the cameras leave.23시간 전
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Iraq Travel Advice & Safety | Smartraveller
12 hours ago · Do not travel to Iraq, including the Kurdistan Region of Iraq. The situation in Iraq and the Middle East region remains unpredictable. Military strikes and reprisal attacks have occurred across parts of the Middle East region in recent days. If you're in Iraq, prioritise your safety. Shelter in place if instructed to by local authorities. Monitor developments closely, including any warnings ...
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Erbil Travel Guide | BootsnAll
5 days ago · Erbil in 2026 is a city the British and Canadian governments both warn you away from, and for once the warning is about the place itself. Iranian drones and missiles have targeted its airport, its US consulate and its outskirts since February. The citadel and bazaar are still there for anyone who goes anyway. Middle East › Iraq ›Erbil Photo:,, via Wikimedia Commons
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Do Not Travel List 2026: All Level 4 Travel Advisory ...
12 hours ago · Complete list of countries with Level 4 Do Not Travel advisories in 2026. Updated regularly from U.S. State Department data. Includes both fully restricted countries and countries with dangerous regions.
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Iraq - SafeTravel
1 day ago · Home Destinations Iraq Page updated 08 June 2026 Iraq Register your travel Register your plans and contact details so we can send you travel updates about the places you're travelling to.
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Country bulletin: internal relocation, civil documentation ...
2 days ago · Guidance Country bulletin: internal relocation, civil documentation and returns (update following setting aside of country guidance), Iraq, July 2026 (accessible)
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Current NOTAMs for Middle East | Notamify
12 hours ago · Monitor high-priority Middle East FIR NOTAMs in real time, with closures and restrictions highlighted first.
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Security Alert: U.S. Mission Saudi Arabia – October 5, 2026
3 days ago · Event: Due to the ongoing security situation in Saudi Arabia and the potential for aerial drone or missile attacks on Saudi Arabia, the U.S. Mission strongly encourages all U.S. citizens to remain vigilant and follow the guidance of national alerts released by Saudi Arabia’s Civil Defense. Follow the recommended “Actions to Take” below.
SECTION X — Predict / Protect / Rescue / Restore
Predict / Protect / Rescue / Restore
Predict
- Check the official foreign-ministry travel advisory for your destination.
- Check official health notices (WHO/CDC equivalent) for outbreaks.
- Check the local weather forecast for the next 72 hours.
- Check transport disruption notices (rail/strikes/airport delays).
- Monitor protest/civil-unrest reports near your area.
- Check disease outbreak notifications and required vaccinations.
Protect
- Pre-book verified transport and avoid unsolicited drivers at hubs.
- Avoid late-night movement in unfamiliar areas.
- Keep digital and paper copies of your documents in two places.
- Use front-facing bags in crowded areas; do not place valuables in back pockets.
- Use bottled or filtered water; avoid uncooked food from informal vendors.
- Steer clear of demonstrations and large gatherings.
- Use ATMs inside banks during daylight hours; cover the keypad.
Rescue
- Save local emergency numbers (police, ambulance, fire, general 112/911).
- Identify the nearest hospital or clinic and how to reach it.
- Carry a backup payment card stored separately from your main wallet.
- Know the address of your country’s embassy or consulate.
- Have a medical escalation plan including English-speaking care if needed.
Restore
- After return, monitor symptoms (especially fever, GI, respiratory) for 14 days.
- Replace any lost or expiring documents promptly.
- Report any theft or fraud to your bank and local authorities.
- Review your insurance claim needs while details are fresh.
- Update your travel checklist for next time.
- Build in a rest day after long or stressful travel.
Route Risk
Transport / route score: 45/100
Route analysis uses baseline route rules. Live route mapping is not connected.
Emergency Numbers
| Police | 104 |
|---|---|
| Ambulance | 122 |
| Fire | 115 |
| General emergency | 104 |
Verify before relying on these numbers in an emergency. Source: baseline-demo.
SECTION XIX — Embassy / Consular Guidance
Before travel, check your country's official foreign ministry or embassy website for emergency assistance information.
Scam Patterns
Specific city-level scam pattern data is limited.
SECTION XXI — Digital Security
- Use a VPN on public Wi-Fi.
- Enable 2FA on email, banking, and travel accounts.
- Back up document scans to a private cloud and a paper copy stored separately.
- Avoid unknown USB ports and charging stations.
- Keep automatic OS updates on; enable remote-wipe on your phone.
SECTION XXII — Money Safety
- Carry a backup payment card stored separately from your wallet.
- Use bank-lobby ATMs in daylight; cover the keypad.
- Keep a small amount of local cash for emergencies.
- Watch for skimmers and shoulder-surfers around ATMs and payment terminals.
- Use card-tap for transit and payments where possible to limit card-present exposure.
Personalized Safety Checklist
Verify Before Departure / Before Movement
- Foreign-ministry / national travel advisory
- Official travel-health authority (e.g. CDC, WHO, national equivalent)
- WHO/CDC-style health notices
- Local weather agency
- Emergency services in the area you are in
- Your embassy / consulate
- Official immigration / visa source
SECTION XXV — Trust and Transparency
| Data used | city-level + country fallback |
|---|---|
| Estimated data | Yes |
| Fallback logic | city -> country -> world |
| Confidence | high |
| AI used | Yes |
| Search used | Yes |
| Last AI refresh | 2026-10-08 12:08:09 |
| AI refresh status | fresh |
Disclaimer
Travel Risk Calculator provides estimated travel-threat information for preparation purposes only. It does not replace official government advisories, medical advice, emergency alerts, immigration rules, insurance advice, police guidance, embassy information, or professional security consultation.