TRC TRAVEL RISK CALCULATOR

Your assessment

Your answer for Merida

!Moderate risk

Mostly safe with specific situations to watch for. Read the briefing below.

Recommendation: Travel with caution.

27
/ 100 composite

Do this next

  1. Maintain awareness of local news reports regarding neighborhood-specific security developments. · crime
  2. Review updated government travel advisories specifically detailing regional transit corridors before embarking on inter-state travel. · advisory
  3. Monitor meteorological updates and local civil protection alerts during weather events. · disaster
Field briefing · FILE No. MO-SDL9P · 2026-10-10 03:29:27

Field Briefing

Mode: I plan to travel · Merida

Current Weather & Forecast

🌤  Mostly clear

Mérida, Mexico

25.1°C
feels 29.3°C
Today's high / low 30.9°C / 23.8°C Wind now / max 10.1 km/h / 16.4 km/h
Humidity 90% Precipitation today 7 mm · 98% chance
UV (max today) 7.5 Sunrise / Sunset 05:54 / 17:32
Weather risk flags
  • High precipitation chance
  • Thunderstorm risk

Source: Open-Meteo (free public weather API) · fetched 2026-10-17 13:15:22 UTC

Air Quality & Environmental Conditions

Air Quality

Good

21
US AQI · EU AQI 16
PM2.5 / PM10 2.2 / 2.5 µg/m³ O₃ / NO₂ 48 / 4.1 µg/m³

Source: Open-Meteo Air Quality · fetched 2026-10-17 13:15:23 UTC

Official Government Travel Advisories

Level 2 · Exercise Increased Caution

Mexico Travel Advisory - Level 2: Exercise Increased Caution

Issued 2026-05-29

Read full advisory → · US Department of State

Active Disaster & Seismic Alerts

Active Disaster Alerts

  • Drought is on going in The Bahamas, Belize, Costa Rica, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Guatemala, Honduras, Haiti, Mexico, Nicaragua, El Salvador ORANGE · country-wide · 2026-07-03

    The Drought notification level is Orange.

    GDACS report →

  • Drought is on going in Mexico, United States GREEN · country-wide · 2026-04-30

    The Drought notification level is Green.

    GDACS report →

“~N km away” = event centroid within ~500 km of this location; “country-wide” = a national/regional alert that may not be near this specific city. Source: GDACS · fetched 2026-10-17 13:05:15 UTC

Health Notices & Outbreak Warnings

Health Notices for this Destination

  • Level 1 - Rocky Mountain Spotted Fever in Mexico WATCH · 2025-12-23

    Illness and death due to Rocky Mountain spotted fever (RMSF) have been reported in the northern region of Mexico along the U.S. border, particularly in Baja California, Sonora, Chihuahua, Coahuila, and Nuevo León.

    CDC notice →

  • Level 1 - Global Measles WATCH · 2025-05-28

    Measles cases are rising in many countries around the world. All international travelers should be fully vaccinated against measles with the measles-mumps-rubella (MMR) vaccine, according to CDC's measles vaccination recommendations for international travel. Country List : Afghan

    CDC notice →

Source: CDC Travelers’ Health · fetched 2026-10-17 06:34:10 UTC

Recent Verified News & Safety Monitors

Recent Headlines · Mérida Mexico

Source: Google News · headlines verbatim, dates from publishers · fetched 2026-10-17 13:15:23 UTC

Risk Score Breakdown & Key Drivers

0 /100 — Composite Threat Index
Moderate

Travel with caution.

Origin / Destination

DestinationMerida, Mexico
Travel methodplane

Trip Readiness & Document Checklist

Trip Readiness (0/100)

Poorly Prepared

Document gap — handle before you go

  • verify passport validity

Next actions

  • verify passport validity
  • passport/visa checked
  • vaccines/health advice checked
  • travel insurance purchased
  • emergency numbers saved

Top Risk Drivers

medium

Targeted armed incident in northern Merida · crime

A targeted armed attack occurred involving an individual in the northern neighborhood of Montes in Merida.

→ Maintain awareness of local news reports regarding neighborhood-specific security developments.

Source: Crime - The Yucatan Times

medium

Granular safety variations across Mexican states · advisory

Official 2026 travel warnings emphasize that safety conditions vary dramatically across different regions and states in Mexico.

→ Review updated government travel advisories specifically detailing regional transit corridors before embarking on inter-state travel.

Source: 2026 Mexican States Travel Warnings: Comprehensive Safety ...

low

Active seasonal weather and hurricane window · disaster

Regional weather data confirms that the Atlantic hurricane season remains active through November 30, alongside regional humidity and historical weather patterns.

→ Monitor meteorological updates and local civil protection alerts during weather events.

Source: Best Time to Visit Mexico in 2026, Region by Region

Threat Vector Decomposition

Crime
22
Disease & Health
25
Government Advisory
40
Political & Civil Unrest
20
Natural Disaster & Weather
25
Transport & Route
29
Environmental
20
Accommodation
22
Arrival Time
30
Digital Security
25
Money Safety
25
Personal Modifier
33

Executive Summary

Merida, Mexico maintains a moderate overall risk profile characterized by low violent crime indicators relative to national trends, though localized incidents and regional travel advisories warrant standard situational awareness. Seasonal weather factors, including active hurricane periods ending late November, require ongoing monitoring.

Live Intelligence / AI-Assisted Briefing

Last AI sweep: 2026-10-10 03:29:33 · Refresh count: 1 · Status: fresh · Search: used · AI: used

AI summary: Merida, Mexico maintains a moderate overall risk profile characterized by low violent crime indicators relative to national trends, though localized incidents and regional travel advisories warrant standard situational awareness. Seasonal weather factors, including active hurricane periods ending late November, require ongoing monitoring.

Recent intelligence items

  • [2026-10-08 · crime · medium] Crime reports from The Yucatan Times note targeted armed attack in northern Mérida neighborhood of Montes [source]
  • [2026-10-08 · political · high] 2026 Mexican States Travel Warnings and safety guidance published [source]
  • [2026-10-05 · disaster · high] Best Time to Visit Mexico in 2026 notes hurricane season ends November 30 [source]

Field recommendations

  • Review up-to-date FCDO or consular travel advice before arrival.
  • Monitor local news outlets for updates on neighborhood security in Merida.
  • Exercise standard vigilance regarding personal belongings in public spaces.
  • Verify transportation arrangements through established providers.
  • Keep emergency contact numbers programmed into mobile devices.

Sources the AI drew from

These are the public-web snippets fed into the AI for this briefing. Verify any specific claim by reading the source.

  1. 2026 Mexican States Travel Warnings: Comprehensive Safety ...
    2 days ago · Navigating the complex landscape of mexican states travel warnings in 2026 requires up-to-date, granular intelligence. While Mexico remains one of the world's top tourist destinations, safety conditions vary dramatically from one border to the other. This guide provides an in-depth analysis of risk levels, crime statistics, and essential safety protocols for travelers, expats, and business ...
  2. Alerts Archives - U.S. Embassy & Consulates in Mexico
    2 days ago · Alerts October 2, 2026 Demonstration Alert: Protest in Mexico City, October 2, 2026, starting at 4:00 P.M. Read More
  3. Mexico Security and Crime Explained 2026 | The Rio Times
    1 day ago · Mexico security explained: official data show homicides falling since 2024, but extortion, fraud and unreported crime remain high. Hotspots and safe areas.
  4. Mexico travel advice - GOV.UK
    1 day ago · FCDO travel advice for Mexico. Includes safety and security, insurance, entry requirements and legal differences.
  5. Mérida 2026 Past Weather (Mexico) - Weather Spark
    5 hours ago · Raw: MMMD 092140Z 24010KT 7SM SCT015TCU BKN300 33/25 A2976 RMK 8/208 HZY This report shows the past weather for Mérida, providing a weather history for 2026. It features all historical weather data series we have available, including the Mérida temperature history for 2026. You can drill down from year to month and even day level reports by clicking on the graphs.
  6. When Is Sargassum Season? Caribbean Seaweed Calendar (2026 ...
    1 day ago · When Is Sargassum Season? Updated: October 9, 2026 Complete month-by-month guide to sargassum season in the Caribbean and Mexico.
  7. Best Time to Visit Mexico in 2026, Region by Region
    5 days ago · Best time to visit Mexico: dry season runs November to April. Hurricane season ends 30 November. Regions, key dates and entry rules for US travellers.
  8. Crime - The Yucatan Times
    3 days ago · MÉRIDA, Yucatán — José Marcelino “N”, alias “El Marce”, who survived a targeted armed attack in the northern Mérida neighborhood of Montes …

Predict / Protect / Rescue / Restore

Predict

  • Check the official foreign-ministry travel advisory for your destination.
  • Check official health notices (WHO/CDC equivalent) for outbreaks.
  • Check the local weather forecast for the next 72 hours.
  • Check transport disruption notices (rail/strikes/airport delays).
  • Check airport status, immigration queues, and any transit-visa requirements.

Protect

  • Pre-book verified transport and avoid unsolicited drivers at hubs.
  • Avoid late-night movement in unfamiliar areas.
  • Keep digital and paper copies of your documents in two places.
  • Use front-facing bags in crowded areas; do not place valuables in back pockets.

Rescue

  • Save local emergency numbers (police, ambulance, fire, general 112/911).
  • Identify the nearest hospital or clinic and how to reach it.
  • Carry a backup payment card stored separately from your main wallet.
  • Know the address of your country’s embassy or consulate.

Restore

  • After return, monitor symptoms (especially fever, GI, respiratory) for 14 days.
  • Replace any lost or expiring documents promptly.
  • Report any theft or fraud to your bank and local authorities.
  • Review your insurance claim needs while details are fresh.
  • Update your travel checklist for next time.
  • Build in a rest day after long or stressful travel.

Route Risk

Transport / route score: 29/100

Route analysis uses baseline route rules. Live route mapping is not connected.

Medical Access

Hospital accessmedium
Pharmacy accessmedium
Emergency response qualitymedium
English-speaking careunknown
Evacuation complexitymedium

Healthcare details for travelers in Mérida are not extensively detailed in the current local safety advisories. Visitors should rely on standard medical preparedness and verify international insurance coverage before arrival.

Emergency Numbers

Police911
Ambulance911
Fire911
General emergency911

Verify before relying on these numbers in an emergency. Source: Travel Risk Calculator reference dataset.

Embassy / Consular Guidance

Before travel, check your country's official foreign ministry or embassy website for emergency assistance information.

Scam Patterns

  • Fake Travel Agency Scams. Fraudulent travel agencies operate entirely online through websites, Facebook groups, or messaging apps to sell heavily discounted flights and travel packages. These fly-by-night operations tend to lack physical addresses or phone numbers, leaving victims with little recourse once defrauded. Tip: Avoid booking travel packages or flights through unverified social media accounts or messaging apps that lack an established physical address and official credentials.

Digital Security

  • Use a VPN on public Wi-Fi.
  • Enable 2FA on email, banking, and travel accounts.
  • Back up document scans to a private cloud and a paper copy stored separately.
  • Avoid unknown USB ports and charging stations.
  • Keep automatic OS updates on; enable remote-wipe on your phone.

Money Safety

  • Carry a backup payment card stored separately from your wallet.
  • Use bank-lobby ATMs in daylight; cover the keypad.
  • Keep a small amount of local cash for emergencies.
  • Watch for skimmers and shoulder-surfers around ATMs and payment terminals.
  • Use card-tap for transit and payments where possible to limit card-present exposure.

Personalized Safety Checklist

Verify Before Departure / Before Movement

  • Foreign-ministry / national travel advisory
  • Official travel-health authority (e.g. CDC, WHO, national equivalent)
  • WHO/CDC-style health notices
  • Local weather agency
  • Emergency services in the area you are in
  • Your embassy / consulate
  • Official immigration / visa source

Trust and Transparency

Data usedcity-level + country fallback
Fallback logiccity -> country -> world
AI usedYes
Search usedYes
Last AI refresh2026-10-10 03:29:33
AI refresh statusfresh

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Disclaimer

Travel Risk Calculator provides estimated travel-threat information for preparation purposes only. It does not replace official government advisories, medical advice, emergency alerts, immigration rules, insurance advice, police guidance, embassy information, or professional security consultation.